Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 7.174174 8.397460 9.739331 11.316884 13.116914 15.102845 17.455714
2026-02-01 4.915927 6.501428 8.429724 10.930080 14.066978 17.851147 22.738194
2026-02-08 3.571564 5.220063 7.399203 10.452139 14.573436 19.892448 27.215460
2026-02-15 2.729963 4.350025 6.649497 10.086970 15.016006 21.735207 31.470735
2026-02-22 2.310293 3.963175 6.454620 10.385732 16.308560 24.747880 37.485527
2026-03-01 1.997051 3.663757 6.315988 10.706794 17.616211 27.847253 43.841551
2026-03-08 1.622175 3.185303 5.811685 10.371671 17.859366 29.367576 47.976125
2026-03-15 1.342832 2.812758 5.412318 10.130206 18.186765 30.997025 52.352775
2026-03-22 1.230239 2.721040 5.472759 10.653109 19.787754 34.718156 60.228080
2026-03-29 1.110599 2.591849 5.442841 11.004097 21.117439 38.087965 67.767680
2026-04-05 0.968914 2.390109 5.245483 11.019837 21.851832 40.512466 73.913044
2026-04-12 0.835438 2.179071 4.996765 10.901771 22.321162 42.503565 79.446976
2026-04-19 0.690974 1.923724 4.640484 10.571749 22.445843 44.046696 84.593422
2026-04-26 0.572682 1.704812 4.329026 10.298987 22.669861 45.825989 90.378841
2026-05-03 0.463919 1.481316 3.966250 9.862951 22.517287 46.894634 94.970416
2026-05-10 0.380478 1.301598 3.668921 9.519416 22.500769 48.197475 100.066441
2026-05-17 0.343611 1.243379 3.652830 9.803916 23.818114 52.159566 110.417066
2026-05-24 0.312125 1.192883 3.646825 10.109143 25.207131 56.363918 121.513065
2026-05-31 0.258925 1.058520 3.396872 9.790710 25.186426 57.733494 127.186010
2026-06-07 0.217651 0.950362 3.195924 9.561295 25.334476 59.447831 133.644632
2026-06-14 0.205585 0.941529 3.274161 10.058156 27.213121 64.914079 148.016685
2026-06-21 0.189465 0.913075 3.289910 10.391743 28.735866 69.728887 161.350205
2026-06-28 0.166602 0.851212 3.193012 10.406705 29.488650 72.931994 171.538174